In the last few weeks, I’ve been asked what I think of the recent events at Yahoo!. As an once insider, people think I’ve got some inside knowledge and insight into whether the changes are good or not. To be honest, I do still have some connections with Yahoos, but they get more tenuous each passing day. Still, it’s been interesting polling both insiders and outsiders about Yahoo! and its future.
Since the announcement of Jerry Yang becoming CEO (and Sue Decker becoming President) and Terry Semel leaving, I have thought a lot about what this means for Yahoo!. I also went around and talked to ex-Yahoos and current Yahoos about what they think. It’s been an interesting experience hearing what they’ve had to say.
I have found an amazingly wide range of opinions but there seem to be some trends:
1. Those who just joined Yahoo seem more optimistic than those that have been there for a while. Some guesses as to why this is so:
a. They joined at the current state of affairs, so they must be bullish on the company or else why would they have joined up?
b. They must be bullish or else they would quit. This could be real or self-delusional. Who knows. But they must make themselves bullish or else they would lose all psych in their job, which they arrived at not too long ago.
2. Veterans seem to have mixed opinions. Why:
a. They have more experience in the company and know what works and what doesn’t. They’ve been through change before at Yahoo and can be both optimistic and pessimistic.
b. It seems that this is highly dependent on position and location in the company (see next item).
3. Higher level employees unanimously are bullish on the company. This is not strange; they have signed on to be an exec in the new regime and have to like it. Otherwise, they would leave. And politically they can’t express any fears; it would scare the troops. So it’s been hard to pin down what they REALLY think about the new Yahoo.
4. Pockets of bliss exist. In many small, local areas, people are doing really great work and getting lots done. The opposite is also true, that there are also many areas of despair as well. These folks cite all the typical stuff, like growing politics, impossible to get stuff done, no direction from leadership, etc. etc.
What do I think about Jerry being CEO?
I totally think he should have been CEO a long time ago.
I think that in order for someone to run a company effectively, you must have instinctual knowledge about the industry. We would not put a DOW chemical exec in charge of GM. Likewise, for someone to run an Internet company, you must have some great resonance with the Internet and are in tune with what people want and like.
Who out there could qualify for this? Larry and Sergei are two. Filo and Jerry are another two. I actually think Dan Rosensweig could have done it. He used to run ZDNet and thus had a lot of knowledge about the Internet as well as executive experience. Well, we’re not going to get Larry or Sergei, and Dave Filo is still working on engineering issues. So who is left. Jerry Yang.
Can he turn the ship around?
While I think Jerry is the right person, I also think he has an enormous task before him. Think of trying to turn the TItanic by pushing on it with your hands. In certain crazy and inventive situations, I bet you could actually turn the Titanic that way, ie. if you were Superman, you could do it – this is sort of like answering one of those famous interview questions in a Microsoft interview. So I believe that turning the Yahoo ship can be done, but it remains to be seen whether or not there is so much inertia and momentum that it resists turning fast enough.
One possible consequence of turning the Yahoo ship will be some down revenue quarters over the next year, potentially two years, as restructuring plans take hold, removal of waste, taking down sites that shouldn’t be worked on, etc. etc. However, it will be amazing if revenue can be kept growing in the midst of such change.
Only time will tell. My money is definitely on Jerry Yang to bring Yahoo into its next stage of evolution.