I love it when I hear entrepreneurs are working on a world domination plan.
I see a lot of entrepreneurs arrive with pitches that are limited in scope. They talk about how the world needs this function, how great it is, and how current products don’t have these features. Usually, they really are great ideas. When we get to revenue, sometimes there is a plan and sometimes there isn’t. But many of these revenue plans only seem to get to a few million a year at most. This may be a great small business, but for an investor, we need to ply our limited resources into those opportunities that will grow into huge businesses, and not just a million a year.
The need for a world domination plan is important to me. I want to invest in businesses that will grow into huge businesses, which will maximize my return on investment. I don’t want to invest in businesses that will grow into small businesses, even if they are great small businesses. I only have time and resources to work on so many projects and need to maximize my efforts.
The plan needs to be believable to both me and the entrepreneur. It’s not enough that I just believe it’s possible; the entrepreneur must also believe the plan since he is executing it. If only I believe in the possibility, that’s not good enough. To me, it’s a form of personal deception; I see the idea, I see its potential, and it doesn’t matter who works on it – it must build into a big business as I believe, right? It’s not that simple even if I wish it was. I’m not the one executing the idea and doing all the ground work. The entrepreneur must believe in the idea and be able to do all that. If he does not believe in the idea and/or cannot execute it, it’s going to fail.
Some people have enough resources to invest in experimental projects, meaning that there is no clear path to success at the beginning. I unfortunately don’t have enough resources to deploy like that. Thus, I need to at least have some comfort that both the entrepreneur and I believe there is a world domination plan (and yes I know there is a great probability that this will change).
What is your world domination plan?
Category Archives: Angel Investing/Venture Funds
Is Angel Investing for You? Essential Qualities for Beginner Angel Investors
On Hacker News, someone posted that they could not find a good tutorial on becoming an angel investor. As I wrote in my previous post, “What I’ve Learned in Angel Investing, March 2009”, there is practically no one to teach you or we’re all too busy to hold your hand. So I thought I’d write a bit about starting out.
I thought about writing a whole tutorial, but I kind of backed off on that. I’ve only got about 2+ years of angel investing under my belt; hardly “expert” status on this topic! There are plenty of people who have been doing angel investing for decades and would be much more qualified to teach angel investing than me. However, I thought about what I could do to help budding angel investors start out and figured that I’d start by talking about whether or not you have the basic qualities for becoming a successful angel investor.
Don’t Get Caught Up in the Glamour
Angel investing is glamorous. It’s like sitting at the Monaco blackjack table that has a minimum of $10000 per bet. People look at you as if you’re some rich celebrity. It’s the same with angel investing. People think that you’re going to make it rich as you go find the next Google and make a gazillion dollars. In fact, they think you are making a gazillion bucks even as they talk to you.
I would be the first to say that I get some attention for angel investing. But that’s because they always hear about the great successes of venture capitalists and startups getting acquired or going public. They never hear about all the other startups that fail miserably, and taking investors’ money with them down the tube.
So if you are thinking about becoming an angel investor because you think it’s glamourous and you’ll gain fame from it, I think that’s fine but I can probably think of other less money-wasteful ways of gaining fame (for instance, join Twitter and challenge Ashton Kutcher to see who gets to 2MM followers first). Personally I would not become an angel investor because of this reason so don’t get caught up in the glamour.
What is Your Reason for Angel Investing?
I think you need to think hard about why you’d want to angel invest. I would also suggest that you should have alternative reasons for angel investing beyond making money. That’s because angel investing is probably one of the riskiest ways of making money and betting it all on this as an overall portfolio strategy.
So have other ways of gaining return from angel investing since there is a good chance you’re going to lose all your money doing it. Feel good that you’re getting something back from it even if the money doesn’t.
My alternative returns from angel investing are:
1. I love hanging with smart entrepreneurs.
2. I love learning something new.
3. I love teaching and get joy from watching others learn.
4. I love being part of something growing.
5. I love the challenge of the process of startup and product building. I love the brainteaser aspect of trying to solve this problem.
You Need Money to Angel Invest
Angel investments range typically in the $25K-$100K range but can go lower or even much higher, upwards of $1MM. You can just do a few angel investments, or even one. But this substantially increases your risk of losing your money. To maximize your chance of making your money back and hopefully a bit more, you should consider that you need be able to make at least 10 investments to spread your risk.
Ideally you’d have a minimum of $25K x 10 = $250K to deploy. And the amount goes upwards from there depending on your target investment size.
Then, if you think about popular overall personal portfolio investment strategy, then you shouldn’t have more than 2-3% in any one investment (ie. single stock) to mitigate risk. So is $250K (or whatever amount you are thinking about investing in total) only 2-3% of your overall personal holdings or less?
Remember, betting it all on angel investing is a dumb dumb dumb move.
Are You A Risk Taker?
In order to angel invest, you need to be comfortable with deploying huge sums of cash. You need to be able to do this decisively and without regret or anxiety.
If you are a conservative person, angel investing is not for you.
If you have anxiety about throwing large sums of money out there, this is not for you.
If you can’t let go of your money emotionally, this is definitely not for you. You’ll drive everyone crazy because you’ll be so worried about losing your money and it WILL NOT BE A GOOD THING. Please PLEASE…just do us all a favor and don’t angel invest.
Just Because You Like To Gamble, Doesn’t Mean You Should Angel Invest
Angel investing is a lot like going to Vegas and gambling except for one important point. In Vegas gambling, the money is gone instantly; you have no recourse but to let go of the money at the moment it’s gone. In angel investing, your money isn’t instantly gone; if anything it can seem to drag out the loss process for an incredibly long and painful time.
Can you deal with that?
Do You Deal Well with Chaos and Uncertainty?
You might be a risk taker, but if you lose your head during times of great chaos or uncertainty, this is not good. Every startup goes through periods of high stress and low periods. As an investor, you’ll probably be dragged along with those sentiments. I’ve lost my head once and blew up with entrepreneurs once, and learned my lesson that it just isn’t productive. You gotta keep a cool head so that you can think clearly and strategize correctly.
Are You Disciplined?
Can you develop a plan and stick to it? Or are you tempted to toss your plan to the wind when something comes along so juicy you can’t pass it up, even if it violates your plan?
I have found that sticking to your plan is crucial. It keeps you honest and focused. It also keeps you out of trouble. There is nothing wrong with altering your plan; that’s not what I’m saying here. But once you figure out what is right for you, don’t mess with it or else you’ll get yourself in trouble.
Can You Exercise Tough Love?
As a parent, I often think about tough love with respect to my kid. The same applies to startups and entrepreneurs. When things are going south, somebody has to step up and say that you are heading south and something needs to be done. This can mean things like saying to the CEO that he needs to go, or closing down a startup because it’s going nowhere. Anyone can say positive things during good times, but can you tell someone that something is really going bad and that they need to change/stop/leave?
Some of the hardest conversations I’ve had occurred beginning last year, when I began having talks about cutting burn due to money running out, and the lack of possibility of further funding. With the economy the way it is, I fully expect to see more tough conversations coming up.
An effective angel investor needs to be able to exercise tough love.
Are You Good at Saying NO?
Some people have this issue where they just can’t bring themselves to say “NO”. It’s painful, it risks dealing with negativity coming from the other party, it’s uncomfortable as you worry about hurting another person. It also feels bad being negative.
In angel investing, you MUST absolutely have the ability to say NO decisively and stick to it. Clarity is critical and wishy washiness sucks for everyone involved. If a deal is wrong for you, you just need to be able to say NO no matter how much an entrepreneur is begging, making you feel guilty or inadequate. Remember it’s their job to sell you on investing in their company. Can you not fall for that and just say NO when you’re supposed to?
Do You Have Great Intuition?
I run with intuition a lot. I listen to my gut and if something doesn’t feel right, I just don’t invest. I don’t care what it is. If my gut just doesn’t feel the least bit good about a deal, I just say NO. Intuition detects those things that are immediately obvious or things that are hidden. What is it about this deal that sets off the butterflies in my gut?
Intuition is that primal survival instinct that our ancestors and apes gave to us, but civilization just destroyed. We all know people with zip intuition; you know, the ones with seemingly no common sense whatsoever or always getting in trouble? Are you one of those people?
If you have a highly developed intuition, it will pay you in spades with angel investing.
Do You Have Something to Offer Startups?
I’m fond of talking about angel investing as a probability game. You always want to do a whole bunch of things that maximizes the chance that a given startup will succeed and return your investment with profit.
One of those is your money. That’s easy.
The other is how you yourself can help. How can you help a startup you’re investing in? Can you lend your experience to the entrepreneur? Your business contacts? Your ideas and creativity? Did you specialize in a particular area that you can teach? What else?
If you don’t have anything to offer, then you should consider not angel investing, or at least not in the industry in which you have no experience to offer. Remember that you want to increase the chance of your investment’s success always; why invest in something that has a lower chance of success? Why do people learn how to count cards to play blackjack, or at least learn blackjack strategy?
Are You Willing to Learn?
You should not be arrogant in thinking you know everything. I thought that by coming from Yahoo!, I could pick successful startups. And I was wrong. There will be a lot to learn, lot that you will not expect, skills that you will realize you do not have. To go into angel investing thinking that you know everything is only going to cloud your decision process. This is bad.
Following on the previous comment, you should be open to learning. If you are not receptive to finding out that others know more than you and learning from them, this is a big problem. You’re going to think that with all your previous experience that you’re going to be successful, and I guarantee you that you will miss the important finer points that will throw the odds in your favor and not against you.
Regarding Picking Companies
You have to be good at spotting opportunities. I have already said I have fooled myself in the beginning in thinking I was good at this, but then discovered there was much to learn beyond just the idea. Let’s just say you have to be willing to learn and deploy intuition and objective measures for picking entrepreneurs and their ideas in order to be good enough at picking companies that you’re not throwing money away.
Someday I may write more about what I’ve learned in picking companies. It’s a tough subject with many moving parts. Suffice to say that if you somehow are good at this before you start, then it’s a great quality to have. But if you don’t have this quality or are unsure, then let’s hope you learn because if you can’t ever pick great startups, then you’re toast no matter what. Go to Vegas and hang out with hot chicks at the $1000 Blackjack tables instead. At least you can hang with the hot chicks while throwing your money away.
Do You Have These Important Other External Factors?
Over these last 2+ years, I have found these external factors to increase the probability of success as an angel investor:
1. Your business contacts include those at companies which can result in strategically important partnerships or acquisitions.
Right now, one of the biggest problems that early stage internet startups face is access to customers, whether they are consumers or other businesses. If you know someone who can create a distribution deal for your startup, that would accelerate the growth of the startup, potentially past competitors who don’t have those contacts.
Also, providing more opportunities for acquisitions is also strategically important. This can be as simple as just providing an exit for investors, but in times of economic crisis, it can become a survival lifeline for a business who is running out of money and options. Casting the net as wide as possible can only increase chances for a startup to be acquired.
2. You know and are trusted by other investors, either angels or venture funds, and can invest alongside others who will be helpful and advantageous to a startup.
Again, it’s a probability increasing thing. The more helpful people involved, the better the chance of a great outcome. Thus, having experienced investor friends who will allow you to get into the deal is a very positive thing. If you’re investing alongside not so helpful or experienced people, it just reduces the chance of success especially if you’re in a tough situation, like running out of money and are looking for further investment or facing hostile competition or in need of strategic partnerships.
3. You have access to great dealflow.
This is always critical. If you don’t have access to great deals, then why invest in only crappy deals? If you live in the middle of Montana and all the internet deal flow exists in Silicon Valley, how are you going to get included in those deals and/or pitched? There are probably a myriad of ways to access great deals: location, relationships, going to conferences and startup/entrepreneur gatherings – probably worthy of an entire post in itself. But this is a critical part of being a successful angel investor.
Last Important Attribute: LUCK
Are you lucky? Do good things fall in your lap out of the blue? Does opportunity knock for you more often than for other people?
As in all forms of gambling, being lucky gives you an edge over everybody and everything else.
If you are UNLUCKY, angel investing is DEFINITELY not for you.
Over the last 2+ years in angel investing, I learned a lot about myself while doing this. I also learned a lot from interacting with others and learning from them. Exhibiting these intrinsic qualities will enable you figure out if this occupation is right for you, and whether or not you’ll be successful in it.
Endnote: Did I miss any essential qualities?
What I’ve Learned in Angel Investing, March 2009
Paul Graham of YCombinator ran a great afternoon conference called Angelconf where he brought together a great afternoon of Silicon Valley angels to talk about how to become an angel. He then wrote a great blog post about it. I managed to watch a lot of it, although I was in NYC at the time and it was tough to watch the whole afternoon.
I was also impressed with Naval Ravikant’s segment, which is posted on VentureHacks. Reading Naval and Nivi’s post sparked some thoughts about angel investing in my mind, so I thought I’d talk about what I’ve learned, and my views on angel investing. One thing you’ll notice is that many of the things I consider important are what others think are important, but there are definitely differences too. So angel investing can have individual differences between angels.
The Problem With Angel Investing Is…
There is no one to teach you. No one to hold your hand. At least until Paul Graham ran his Angelconf. Yes there are many blog posts out there, but there is no really good guide that leads through the topics in an orderly and easily learn-able manner. You get a lot of information piecemeal and you can’t always tell what it’s relevant to, or whether it’s relevant to whatever deal you’re working on now.
I paid my lawyer 1.5 hours of time to have him walk me through, explain, and let me ask him questions about term sheets. Even that was not enough. The ins and outs and subtleties of investing I had to learn on my own, and only by doing 10+ deals in the last 2 years.
Should You Be an Angel?
First thing is you need cash – $250k is minimum, which would put $25k into 10 companies. This gives you good diversification, and you get some good learning which would otherwise be missed by investing more sparingly. Investing regularly also gives you good market information. I now have a good picture into valuations for companies with and without revenue, as a reference for whether or not a deal is good or too expensive.
You can start out lower than $250k, but generally it is rare that entrepreneurs will let you put less than $10K into a company. You usually must have some sort of alternative attraction, like being a prominent business individual.
Starting out with more is always fine….but….the starting amount needs to not be your life savings! You’re likely to lose it all in angel investing! If it’s not your life savings, then mentally you’ll also be better prepared, since if you can lose it all it matters trivially to your life.
Also do not invest with people who are investing what you think is a significant part of their life savings. There is a high probability that they will not be happy to lose it all and could cause no end of trouble to the entrepreneur.
What’s your risk profile? If you’re conservative, you shouldn’t be doing this. Angel investing can be akin to playing the lottery or going to Vegas. Really.
Expect the ratio of 9 failures to one success. Naval thinks it’s much worse, like 1 out of 20 or even 30. So you have to go wide to minimize your loss potential.
So it’s hard to make angel investing profitable if it’s just a hobby, ie. investing in a startup every once in a while, like one a year or less. Probability is far against it.
Do you have something useful to offer to your companies? If not, then your money is just dumb money and it is less likely you’ll get included in great deals. Entrepreneurs look for people to be involved that can help them.
Discipline
Stick to your operating philosophy. Don’t waver. For example, I don’t do notes and have not since, or only under very strict conditions.
Intuition
If something doesn’t feel right, don’t invest. You may have a funny feeling about the entrepreneurs, the business potential, the deal terms, or something else. Trust your instincts.
Picking Companies is Hard
I thought that with all my Internet experience at Yahoo!, I could pick great startups. Boy, was I wrong.
Don’t delude yourself in thinking you can pick a great deal every time. There are so many factors that exist in generating success. You can find total idiots who have made it big, and totally smart people failing miserably. Market conditions could also affect success rates simply because capital is not available or the market is not ready for a product like yours. Just because you think this deal is a great idea doesn’t mean it’s going to actually be one.
Also be wary of laying your own way of getting to success onto the idea but the entrepreneur has not bought into that. Don’t fall into the trap of thinking this is great idea because you personally think it should be executed in some way but the entrepreneur is attacking it in a slightly different way. If he has not bought into it, it won’t be done your way; it’ll be done his way. But also remember that if you think of a great way to execute, it is possible that you are the only one who can execute it that way, meaning you have the business contacts, the experience, the thought leadership etc. The entrepreneur may not.
So if you love the idea and space, but hate the execution plan and think you have a better one AND can’t convince the entrepreneur that you have a better plan, I would walk away.
Dealflow
I am lucky to be able to filter my dealflow by referrals.
Try to be friendly and useful to more experienced angels and VCs out there. They’ll direct some great dealflow your way because they know you’ll help load the odds of success in their favor.
I would caution you on investing in companies in industries you know nothing about.
I personally don’t like to have an inbox full of proposals from strangers. I can’t tell what is good and what is not. So build referral networks if you can.
Don’t Be a Flake
Say you’re going to do a deal or not. Don’t be waffling in the middle. Nobody wants to invest with a flake who can’t decide or is really just unwilling to part with his money but can’t say so.
Branding Yourself
I started David Shen Ventures, LLC and it has become a slowly growing brand. People know me for being useful and many entrepreneurs appreciate, and can attest to, my usefulness.
People do think I’m bigger than I really am though. It’s the risk of sticking the word “Ventures” on the end of your name. I’m just one guy, with an advising and investing operation and that’s it.
Don’t Refer Anything That You Would Not Invest in Yourself
This is brand building, which is to refer only great deals that you’re personally going to invest in. No better validation can be given than if you vote with your own money. Don’t get known for passing only junk that nobody else wants.
On the other hand, if for some reason you do want to help, be clear that you’re not investing but think it’s interesting. But don’t do this often. Investors’ inboxes are clogged enough with random deals that are coming from everywhere. Don’t clog investors’ inboxes further. So I would not do this very often at all.
Be Wary of How Many Deals You Can Handle at One Time
I went out very fast. It was fun, I learned a lot, but I also quickly throttled the process because advising too many companies at once was getting tough and I didn’t want to short change anyone. I also started running short of available capital so be careful of putting too much money out there all at once.
In addition, I would be very disciplined in deploying the same amount of capital every time. Don’t get caught up with the excitement of deals in the beginning and put more money in than what you planned. You’ll run out of money faster, and also I guarantee that the probability of finding your google isn’t any higher in the beginning than it is later on.
Pitches
I can’t sign NDAs unless I get involved. I see too many pitches across many different internet industries and my business can’t survive if I limit that.
The quality of referred pitches is much higher than randomly appearing pitches.
Be wary of being dazzled during a pitch, but be impressed at people who can be so dazzling. Always come back to earth after the meeting and take an objective look at the pitch when you’re out of the mindcontrol ray that some great pitch people can point at you.
Let your intuition be your first guide, and then verify the rest: integrity/intelligence/energy of entrepreneurs, market idea, etc. If something feels wrong, don’t invest.
Investing in More than One Company in Similar Business Areas
I generally try not to do this. I don’t want to accidentally say something that one company is doing to another possible competitor. I also don’t want to be accused of conflict of interest if I’m introducing one company to another for business development or M&A.
There are those who are willing to do this but I don’t think it’s a good idea for me.
Learning to Say No and Walk Away
You need to go into angel investing by having the courage and discipline to just get up and walk away. Every pitch will sound like a game changing next google opportunity for you. That’s their job, to sell you the idea and get you to invest. Do not get mesmerized by that. Be objective in your decision and not emotional, and just say no. Don’t be a flake and waver on telling someone yes or no.
By the way, it’s easy to stress AFTER you say no. You feel regret that maybe you walked away from a great deal. In my experience, this is natural especially after a great attractive, sales pitch. Who can walk away from a hot woman who walks up to you, puts their hand on your rear end, and wants you to come home with her? Let me tell you; I have never regretted walking away from a deal. Remember your intuition – if it says no, it’s saying so for a reason. Better to live to fight (invest) another day, then to get into a deal that may make you miserable later. Also, the probability of any early stage deal being successful is extremely low no matter how sexy the pitch is.
The Best Way to Say Yes
Don’t just say yes. There are many first time entrepreneurs out there who think that when you say yes at the first meeting, they mean they have you. But that is not really true. It’s only the first yes in a string of yes-es, which follow due diligence, checking references, checking the idea independently, or any other decision process items you may have. So make sure first time entrepreneurs understand that.
Do Not Skip Due Diligence
I ask my investments to give me a whole list of due diligence items. It’s a good discipline to have and gives you a deep dive into the company. Luckily, early stage companies don’t have much to dive into, but you can still see problems, like weird debt, or bad corporate structure. You may not want to invest if the entrepreneur is unwilling to clean problems internally.
Also be wary if the entrepreneur is unwilling to give this info to you freely and openly. This only sets the stage for how the relationship will be later on for other things.
I have walked away from deals in failing the due diligence process.
Trust
There has to be a large amount of trust no matter what all the business docs say. You have to see integrity in your entrepreneur and be able to trust that this person won’t screw you later on, because business contracts still can’t protect you 100%. Fundamentally, you need to trust the entrepreneur and he has to be trustworthy.
Be Wary of Business Guys With No Technical Partners
It’s not that I don’t think business only teams can make it big, it’s just that in this day and age it’s more expensive to run an internet business as just a business guy with an outsourced team, which results in increased burn and increased need of capital. And you have to ask why this person can’t court another technical founder to help – is there something wrong here that you’re missing?
Be Wary of Entrepreneurs Who are Building for Businesses They Have No Experience In
Most of the time the idea is great. But then I ask if they have any real world experience in the area they are building in and that’s where I get them most of the time. I don’t like it when people are theorizing about how a certain market is or isn’t. They will most likely find problems that they have no experience tackling. It’s better to find a company who has a veteran of the industry they are tackling so that they have at least have some first hand knowledge of what goes on in that industry.
I know that many would argue that entrepreneurs often need to adapt and dance back and forth a bit before they find their sweet spot. My only issue with this is that learning takes time and they may not have enough time to learn before their money runs out. This is especially relevant at the early stage where we angels often play.
Reputation is Everything
Totally agree here. Build your brand by being a good angel, useful and helpful to the entrepreneurs.
Learn the Terms, and Don’t Just Trust the Entrepreneur to Treat You Right
I spent a lot of time and money, and doing a lot of deals before I could get a broader understanding of all the terms and legal speak of term sheets. It’s tough to keep track of all that. It’s also tough to understand the effects of all the terms in each situation. Experience helps you learn, and, unfortunately, making mistakes.
As I mentioned before, I asked my lawyer to help me understand the terms. But also get a good lawyer to review every term sheet for you and point out what is good and bad and explain why. I have found many angels to barely seem to care about the terms at all. They just “trust” the entrepreneur. I think this is bad. I think you should not fall into this kind of behavior and get a good lawyer to work with you on your angel investing.
If you can affect the terms to your favor, I would advise you to try no matter who is leading. I have also even been able to affect the terms AFTER the financing was over, so it never hurts to ask if you are the last one into a deal and you find something not to your liking.
Selecting a Good Lawyer
It’s unfortunate but I have not met many lawyers who are experienced in the early stage. There are many who have done larger financings at later stages but not many who have done a lot at early stage. I can tell you definitely that there are differences. For example, there are terms that are just not appropriate at early stage but fine for later stage. You don’t want to burden at seed financing negotiating over these kinds of terms, or waste money doing so.
Interview your lawyer for their experience in early stage financings. Get referrals from other angels.
Board Seats
In the companies I’ve observed, I think that taking a board seat should only be done if the person taking it can add value beyond that of just watching over the investors’ money. I’ve seen some pretty ineffective board members and I’ve seen some that were amazing. The amazing part comes in when the company needs to be sold or needs business deals or needs additional funding. Board members with lots of industry experience and connections can make or break whether a company is going to die today or live on.
If you’re just there to watch over the money, then i’ve heard horror stories of board members whose only mission was to protect the investors and not care what happens to the company.
How Much of the Company Should I Get After an Angel Investment?
Assuming you’re not doing a note, I originally set my goal for getting about 1% of a company with a $50K investment. Before the current economic climate, I was seeing deals raising about $1MM on a $4MM pre-money valuation. This seemed like a reasonable benchmark at the time. But now times have changed a lot. The valuations have dropped quite a bit and now you can get more of the company for the same $50K. Still, I see many startups trying to raise money at pre-2008 valuations and I just pass on them because I know there are better deals around the corner. This where having a good finger on the pulse of seed financing can help greatly.
I Don’t Do Notes
Sorry all, too many misadventures with notes, even those with caps. Read about my misadventures here. It’s too risky and troublesome for me.
Assume You Lost the Money As Soon As You Invest It
Definitely you’ll sleep better if you think this way. If you can’t let go of your money, angel investing is truly not for you.
Matchmaking and Connections
Your job after you invest should be to go out and meet people who can help your startup. You should keep a rolodex of these connections and cultivate them, because you never know when any of your startups might need their help.
Don’t be a passive investor and not help. You want to increase the odds of your startups’ success, and not be dumb money.
Invest with Other Helpful Folks
When you have a group of well connected, motivated individuals you increase the chance that a company will succeed, as the other investors will apply their connections and expertise to the startup.
Never Invest By Yourself
Again, you can increase the odds of your startup’s success by having a pool of helpful investors. If you invest by yourself, you only have yourself to help and the startup may need more than you can give. Incent others by including them in the deal. Forcing the entrepreneur to find other investors can also lend some more validation to the business idea.
Don’t Invest in People You Don’t Want to Hang Out With
Like Naval says, why would you want to give money to people you don’t like or don’t care about? Once you invest, you’ll be involved for a long time. Remember that. You can’t just walk away from an angel investment. There is no cash out and washing of your hands of a deal afterwards.
Make Sure the Company Raises Enough Money Before Sending Your Money In
I’m guilty of doing this for sure. You need to make sure a company can get enough money to survive before you put your money in. You don’t want to just extend out when a startup will die by giving them a little extra money. You want to give them enough money to survive to a good place. So commit, but make sure the entrepreneur has other money committed and coming in before you give your money in.
Don’t get entranced by the excitement of the business idea and want to see it started NOW, so you put your money in now thinking that it’s going to be all right. It may not be all right. You may have just wasted your money on letting the company run a little longer and then it dies.
Angel Investing Return is Not About the Money
My return is not all economic. I find it extremely satisfying to work with young, smart entrepreneurs and sharing with them my experiences at Yahoo, and helping them with their businesses and products.
This also helps me to consider invested money as “already spent” and not stress about whether that money is coming back or not.
I also consider it a challenge to see if what I think will work for a company really works. Thus, I apply my expertise and advice to my companies and am gratified when they do work (and bummed, and learn a lot when they don’t).
This is partly why I started advising when I invest. I get part of my return from working with the entrepreneurs. But I also want to make sure they really want my help and are not just telling me, then get my money, and don’t bother to talk to me. By executing an advisor agreement, this really creates the commitment from the company that they do want my help and want to engage me in that way. I’ve also walked away from deals because they did not want my help like that. It’s OK; remember…discipline to stick to your plan!
It’s an Individual Thing
In listening to Angelconf, you’ll find that most angels are consistent with many operating strategies. But then you’ll see some who’ll say one thing and another say something completely different on the same topic. A lot of that goes to what experiences they’ve had in the past, whether they were VCs before, or got burned on something in the past.
The important thing is that you need to figure out how you want to work and then stick with it (unless shown that you should change of course). Don’t go and tell someone else that they should do something your way. Their way may work perfectly well with them and it can be dangerous to adopt a new way of operating if you’re not able or ready to make it work that way.
How do I compare to other angels out there? Or to your own operations if you’re an angel?
Still Lots of Interest in Incubation Out There
In the last few months, I’ve encountered at least 3 people who are thinking about incubating. On the one hand, it’s amazing that the topic still comes up, but on the other hand, it’s not so amazing.
Clearly the news about the spectacular failures of incubators during the last Internet bust hasn’t deterred anyone from trying to build incubation operations. We can even find examples of incubation-type operations that are arguably working like Ycombinator and similar operations in other locales, like Techstars and LaunchBox Digital.
People keep wondering themselves why they can’t just build stuff, and keep building stuff until something works. Or setup something like Ycombinator/Techstars/LaunchBox. It seems so cheap and easy to build a web site/service and get it out there. Why not just build lots of things quickly and try them until something works?
I believe the answer is YES you can. But before you do, I would point you to my two blog posts about incubation, which were gleaned from conversations from many incubator operations both personal and groups in the present and in the past. At betaworks, I took on the project of finding out as much as about incubation as I could, to inform betaworks about the best way to go about coming up an idea (or ideas), how to get them built, and set them up for later success. I then went out and talked to people incubating and distilled what I learned into these two posts:
Incubation 101
Incubation 201: Should You Incubate?
Words of wisdom/caution to those who want to do this:
1. Generally, professional investors run away from people trying to raise money into incubators, because of lot of them were around when the dot-com incubators all collapsed and they remember that. So calling whatever you’re doing an incubator has been found to be a detriment to fund raising.
2. Find your benefactor, woo someone who believes in you and what you’re going to do and has cash to fund your operation.
3. Be aware of destroying incentives that will hinder people from working their butt off on their projects. These are things like paying people full salaries and benefits, and not tying the ownership of the project deeply enough to the people working on them, among other things. Keep people hungry and motivated, that they think their entire future and life depend on the project they are working on.
4. Transferrance of an idea is SUPER HARD. Don’t think it’s easy to just be able to explain an idea to someone else and they will understand it as intuitively and viscerally as the idea originator.
5. Keep costs as low as possible. This will keep everyone’s runway as long as possible. It will also add to the hunger.
6. Figure out what you’re good at, and leverage that in developing the incubation operation. Paul Graham loves smart hackers and is really good at filtering for that. So Ycombinator teams are always composed of super smart hackers because his strategy is based more on having super smart hackers around than just the idea, because often times where you start is not where you end up, and smart people will find a way to success no matter what. What do you believe will generate success and how will your strengths help that strategy?
7. Following on 6., I would advise you not to compete with Ycombinator or any of the other incubator type operations out there. Don’t call yourself Ycombinator 2.0 either in name or messaging. Only Paul Graham can pull off Ycombinator in the way he is doing now. Be yourself and build your own brand.
8. Out of respect for the kind folks who shared with me their knowledge and wisdom which cost them a ton of time and money in legal fees to figure out, I am not publishing anything about what I learned about company structure or legal matters. You should go find a law firm who has worked in this area before and they can help you figure things out. As a hint, some of that has to do with the SEC Investment Company Act of 1940.
I wish you well in your incubative endeavors. May you build something truly great!
The Importance of Revenue at Early Stage, Now More Than Ever
Revenue is important. DUH.
It seems as though we forgot about that through the internet years. People were willing to put money into startups to build up a user base and put revenue generation second before that. They didn’t have to deal with revenue because they knew that they could raise their next round based on tremendous usage and on the assumption that if you had a gazillion users, then you must be able to monetize them somehow.
That did work for many startups through the dotcom boom years, and even after the internet bust it still worked for many years, right up until the economy took a nose dive.
The world changed, and now that second round is just about non-existent.
So I, along with just about every other experienced investor out there, have started to demand revenue as soon as possible (better) or want to see it at the outset (best). We have turned away just about every early stage company that has no revenue or no firm revenue plan.
While we’d love to be optimistic and place a bet on a startup that only has user building potential, but no clear revenue plan, it’s just too risky right now. Or, if the entrepreneur has not created a firm revenue plan, or does not plan to turn on revenue generation as soon as possible. Any of those are too risky for me right now.
Why? In the economic climate of today, 99% of the funding sources won’t even touch a startup that doesn’t have revenue showing, when they hit their next round. I’ve seen it happen multiple times for companies trying to raise money today. Thus, if you don’t have your own source of cash (a.k.a. revenue), then you’ll end up dying when you burn through your initial cash that you’ve raised. You just can’t count on that next tranche of cash to appear when you need it most.
So in investing in you, I want you to survive. I want you to build a great business. I DO NOT WANT YOU TO DIE a few months or a year from now when you run out of cash, just simply because you put off revenue generation until the very end and it’s too late to generate enough cash to support yourself. To me, that’s a waste of not only my money, but of everyone else’s money as well. Think about that if you’re going to take your friends’ and family’s money. In today’s funding environment, you might as well be tossing it out the door if you don’t start revenue generation from day one.
Before the internet, startups were always created to make money. Entrepreneurs always thought about building businesses to make money from day one. And many of them would drive themselves into the hungriest state, risking their homes on additional mortgages and their relationships with divorce. Their unwavering belief in their business idea coupled by their need for cash to sustain their lives kept them going until some of the biggest businesses of today were built.
Somehow we lost that when funding sources were willing to bet on ideas that didn’t have obvious monetization early on. It took the economy to dive into recession to bring this “create a business to make money” philosophy back into the forefront.
Perhaps it never should have gone away.
I’m only looking at startups with revenue or will turn on revenue from day one now, but I also wonder about what I will do when the economy recovers. Would I go back to placing bets on some ideas that may not have obvious revenue plans, or are generating revenue immediately? I think that we’ll have to take a look at the funding environment and the startup ecosystem to see if we’ll ever go back to supporting businesses like that.
Recession? What Recession?
In the last few weeks, I am amazed at how many people are completely unaware, oblivious, or uncaring of what is happening in the markets.
When you drive past malls, the parking lots are full. People are still out shopping! Maybe they aren’t buying? At least they still aspire to buy even if they are not. However it seems that some people still are.
One of my startups, Ideeli, who sells luxury goods at 40-90% off, is showing great growth. I guess women still want their luxury goods even in a recession.
The other day I was catching up with a buddy of mine and I told him some of my companies are shutting down. He was amazed that this was happening.
Some startups I meet with still are in the mode of building for users and making revenue part of their future plans AFTER they raise their next round. I tell them that the investor community has completely stopped funding startups without revenue WHEN THEY SHOW UP at their doorstep. They look at me like I’m an idiot for asking about and pushing them to generate revenue now.
WTF??!?!
Ignorance? Obliviousness? Inertia of irrational exuberance still keeping spirits high? Or perhaps some things just haven’t affected some?
It almost reminds me of when I was a kid growing up during the downturn of the 1970s. My parents dealt with the problems, but they never affected me directly. I never stressed about it, and nobody asked me to stress about it. Food showed up on the table, I went to school, still had clothes and toys. The world was all right.
I think some are like that. They have money. They have support. They still walk down the street to their Starbucks and buy coffee. Everything does seem normal in our little microcosms.
But if you take a look at the world beyond our immediate surroundings, it’s a mess. The larger, global mess trickles down to creating a mess all the way down to affecting us. It’s in all the news, and in our stock prices, our gas prices. For us in the investing biz, it’s in how we think about building startups.
Sometimes I think people just don’t read newspapers, or watch the news. Or maybe their larger view doesn’t have enough experience yet to process all the macro effects and distill them down to micro effects, and finally down to those that directly affect each and every one of us individually.
I think that I was fortunate enough to be an adult through the 1989 downturn, the boom-bust of the internet through 2001, and now this one. It’s a sobering thing to be hammered so many times and to viscerally have experienced their effects on us. I have learned to process broad data and bring them down to the individual level, and I have much more to learn.
I meet with my financial advisor regularly now and pump him for broad economic data, because he sees much more info than I do. We talk about how it affects my investments, but also about the broad economy both domestic and global because I want that data to process, so that I can strategize effectively in all areas of my life, including my startup investing.
When I think about how I get all my information, it’s almost a full time job keeping track of all this information. So maybe I can forgive those who are ignorant/oblivious/irrationally exuberant because it’s a lot of data to process, cutting across a lot of experience areas, and it’s hard to understand if you don’t have context or experience to pull it all together.
I can only hope that people do a more deeper dive in broader economic factors because it does affect us all, and we’ll make better decisions about our lives, money, and work because of it.
And I can stop getting in arguments with people about why building for users isn’t a good strategy now….(more on this in a future blog post).
State of the World and Where Recovery is Going to Come From
A reporter asked me some thought provoking questions about the state of the world and whether Silicon Valley will play a large role in recovery and building new companies and employing tons of now-out-of-work people. I gave a rambling reply which also caused me to think deeper about how things are and my dissatisfaction with many things in the past, which I hope will be fixed. Since it was an interesting thought exercise for me, I thought I’d share it with you (with a bit more embellishment):
3% is the new 20%
Greed has played a large role in how broken the system is. I now say 3% growth is the new 20%, which means that expectations have been totally out of whack in the past. When I was at Yahoo, it was ridiculous to have investors continually push for 20% growth quarter over quarter, year over year. It’s unsustainable. and when Yahoo fails at this, or any company for that matter, the investors knock the stock down. When the stock goes down, the investors get in an uproar and scream bloody murder, try to get rid of the current management team, cause a huge ruckus which is hugely distracting and doesn’t enable a company to respond in the way that is best, which sometimes takes time – More time than investors are willing to give. The short term mindset of investors which drives the short term mindset of companies doesn’t let any company plan effectively for the long term, but only for next quarter’s earnings call.
Stock market driven by emotion
The whole stock market is driven by emotion which is really bad in general. Whatever happened to what I learned about stock investing way back, when the stock price was a reflection of the actual value of the assets a company had, not what emotion drives what we think it should be?
Is incremental innovation enough?
Lots of innovation is definitely in the form of incremental innovation but that is true in more established technologies. We see this in bulk on the internet, but on the other hand, we still see a lot of truly weird new stuff that nobody is working on before. I think a lot of people think they can merely do something better and that is enough to get to a good place, or become number one. the main problem is that users have services overload; ex. how many social networks do we really need?
This is a big problem for us internet startup investors. We see a lot of me-too products and while something may be truly better, there are so many factors out there that inhibit the establishment and growth of a me-too product, even though it’s better. Users have lots of inertia in products they know; they learn, get used to them, then are unwilling to switch. Users also can’t determine what is truly better or not – when two things work in the same industry or product area, users aren’t going to spend time to dig into every new product’s details to figure out which is better; they don’t have time. In the past, large marketing campaigns to drive awareness could get a new entrant a place in the marketplace, but “firehoses of users” aren’t easy to find or establish to get enough trial such that natural growth of users starts to happen.
Where’s the next big industry creation going to happen?
If i were a betting man, I would say cleantech is the next big area for large scale innovation that creates big companies and factories, that employ a wide variety of skills and skill levels – it’s an area that will require lots of capital to start and get going.
Internet tech only employs a certain type and set of skills – as a veteran of the internet and investor in the area, I still think there will be lots of innovation there, but it will come more slowly and the big returns will become more rare, but lots of smaller companies will pop up. It’s still an interesting area and think it will be for some time. Capital requirements are virtually nil for internet startups now.
Statistics says that Silicon Valley can still drive a large portion of company creation and thus, help in the recovery
I’m biased. I live in the Silicon Valley and in living there, versus visiting elsewhere, I think that innovation and new business creation still happens a great deal in the valley. Why:
1. Even in the economic downturn where we’ll see many of the venture funds die, the greatest concentration will still be in the bay area. No other region in the US can claim the sheer number of funds and greatest concentration of angel investors too.
2. The economic downturn will kill off many dumb ideas and leave the strongest to survive. This puts back a constraint on startups which had gone missing in the boom years: gotta make a great business that can make money. duh!
3. Still people flock to silicon valley to start businesses. This inertia isn’t going to go away instantly. It would require many years of failure to reset this in peoples’ minds that Silicon Valley isn’t the right place to be.
4. Being in the Valley means you are surrounded by tons of other like-minded startup people. It would be hard to find some other place like this, except for perhaps NYC or maybe Boston (even those two would still be dwarfed by the sheer number of people in Silicon Valley). Everywhere else has a much much less dense concentration of people who can help you and who have done it before.
5. I personally still look at deals and those that kind of are sub-standard, I tell them (as does everyone else) to go back to the drawing board and come up with an idea that can make money. This kind of feedback is just one more iterative step in getting people to the right place.
6. So eventually some great ideas will make it through the filter, but you have to wait for time and effort to pay off. Statistics says that the greater number you have to play with, the higher the chance you’ll get something new and big. With the sheer volume of stuff that goes on in Silicon Valley, that says to me statistically that you’ll get a next big idea faster than in any other place in the country.
The next big breakthrough employing 1000s of people won’t happen overnight
I doubt that any idea could move that fast and with the economy so down, it will be even harder to see a company grow to such size in those conditions, even those with some momentum. So in that sense, it may be that the government’s massive infrastructure projects may be the ones that will employ a lot of people in the short term while the other companies fight off their investors by laying off people just so they can get their revenue numbers looking better.
What if we didn’t layoff anyone and just waited it out?
What if companies didn’t sucumb to the pressure – what if they kept paying people but were OK with zero profit? We all know we’ll pull out of this downturn at some point – but we have to make a whole bunch of people suffer by laying them off just so a company can look good to investors. Again, the short term focus will weaken companies and place a lot of good, experienced workers out of work. OK OK I’m not totally correct because maybe some companies will make less than their expenses so they will no longer be break even, so maybe they should cut dumb projects and fat off their staff. On the other hand, we’ve seen time and time again where companies would layoff people in downturns, and then just re-hire them later during good times. We don’t need them – we DO need them – this see-sawing back and forth costs people in time, money, and effort.
What if we just didn’t fire them, made less or zero money, and just waited it out since we would have hired them back anyways?
Another thing I learned along the way: being loyal to a company is a thing of the past. A company exists for the survival of itself; if that means that people should be let go, it will do so in order to survive. It doesn’t care about the people, even though it should. As long as the people help a company survive, it will retain those people. Anybody who doesn’t contribute to its survival get cut. I don’t see people having any say or power in this decision. Thus, we have to prepare and take care of ourselves in case it happens.
People are resilient, and will drive new business creation
In a downturn, people tend to be resilient. I read somewhere that during these times, people start their own businesses because they’ve been laid off, sulk for a while, then pick themselves up and go and start new sustainable businesses because now they are free from the corporate mess to do so, whereas they may not have felt that freedom before….?
Entrepreneurism is under attack
I agree generally with this statement. I think the capital mkts are closed, but only for a while. The evidence is that the recovery steps are taking hold but it will still be a few months before things are more back to normal. There will be a shake out in the venture industry. IPOs will still be tough until SAOX gets fixed, which I heard people are working on.
Education could use some serious improvement in the US. But still many kids come out of college wanting to do a startup instead of taking a corporate job. so while we essentially closed the doors to international talent, I think that there is plenty of talent ready and willing to go with just a little experienced handholding.
Basic research is declining I hear. People aren’t encouraged to take science; they want to make the quick buck so they become stock traders. So less ideas come out that way, but still there are many untapped. I met a guy who had a line to the DARPA funded projects in universities. He raised a small fund to help these projects become real businesses. Real scary star wars stuff he was telling me about. Pretty cool.
The search for exits is a problem for the whole venture industry. Tt does foster this attitude of building a business for the exit and not for sustainability. This needs some re-thinking. I admit I even suffer from exit-itis as an angel investor. But we also need to figure out how investors can profit from supporting a company and being able to cash out their investment.
Silicon Valley downturn not as severe as other parts of the country..sort of
Still lots of wealthy people running around, although a lot of Valley companies laying off 1000s of people. And I think parts of the Valley are experiencing downturns but not all, as evidenced by housing prices, etc. Still, it’s probably not as bad as other parts of the country. But as for contributing to the entire country’s recovery, I think you’d have to make people move to the Bay area to look for jobs, or have those companies expand out to other states to get cheaper labor. One problem is finding skilled workers in the areas that high technology requires in other states. Sometimes, you just can’t find those people there, or get people to move there because the quality of life is not what they want (who doesn’t want to live in California haha?).
I read an article in Venture Hacks about American Apparel. This is the innovation that is required in the US; to stop throwing jobs out of the country and figure out how to do things here, so that we can employ Americans and pay them what we need to pay, but also do it in a cost effective manner to be competitive.
California is well poised to recover
I think California has a great chance to recover by itself: entertainment industry in southern California, tech and other stuff in northern California. As in other years, I think there will yet again be a migration to California to look for fortune, as companies get created and are looking for skilled people, and that will draw skilled people from states where jobs are lost.
Do you agree or disagree?
Startup Vocabulary: RENVY, RENVIOUS
RENVY
[ren-vee]
noun, verb
-noun
A feeling of discontent or covetousness with regard to another startup’s revenue, especially when you have none:
Green with renvy takes on new meaning when we’re talking about money.
-verb
To regard with renvy:
I renvy company Y reaching breakeven; if only we had went for revenue from the very beginning, we wouldn’t have to go beg for more money.
RENVIOUS
[ren-vee-uhs]
adjective
-adjective
Full of, feeling, or expressing renvy:
We at company X are renvious of company Y’s $100 million dollars of revenue last year and are planning to take them out in beer pong on Friday night.
This startup vocabulary lesson was brought to you by the folks at Loudwater Labs.
Help Bailout Early Stage Internet Startups!
The government has bailed out banks and mortgage companies, and it’s most likely going to do something for the auto industry. How about my early stage internet startups who are also in desperate need of cash to survive through this economic downturn? Or…how about my all time favorite startup Pets.com?
Pitching Me
Some teams from Seedcamp from London were in town this last week and I managed to get a private pitch session. Here is a video of uberVU pitching me, shot from a mobile phone:
uberVU – betaworks pitch from Vladimir Oane on Vimeo.
I don’t look too good without makeup, do I?